Israeli forces along the southern Lebanon border are in a vulnerable state. Israel has repeatedly stated it does not intend to maintain a permanent presence in Lebanon, but the real issue lies in what happens after a withdrawal.

If Israeli troops leave before Hezbollah is pushed back or disarmed, the area could effectively be handed to an armed organization. Currently, neither scenario appears imminent, so the likelihood of a withdrawal is low. However, a new wave of tensions and clashes in the coming weeks remains a plausible outcome.